- U.S. intelligence reports indicate Israel may struggle to win a war against Hezbollah.
- There are fears that Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu might escalate the conflict to maintain his power.
- Military officials in Washington are concerned about a potential massive bloodshed, eclipsing the 2006 Lebanon War.
- Hezbollah’s attacks began on October 8, concurrently with tensions on the Gaza front.
Why is this important?
- The capacity of Israel to handle a multi-front conflict with different adversaries is crucial for regional stability.
- The political implications for Netanyahu could influence the decision to enter or escalate a conflict, which has broader security consequences.
Claims made by a single publication:
- Israel’s forces are “spread too thin” among various fronts (Israel Hayom).
- Tens of thousands of Israelis displaced due to Hezbollah’s attacks since October 8 (Ynet News).
- Possible Israeli military operation against Lebanon in the ensuing spring, as per “Yedioth Ahronoth” assessments (Al Araby).
- Assassination of Hamas deputy chief Saleh Arouri by Israel, which might result in retaliation from both Hamas and Hezbollah (Al Araby).
- Washington’s focus on diplomatic efforts to avoid a war, with Amos Hochstein mediating border demarcation (A Araby).
- Israeli Security Minister Yoav Gallant threatened to push Hezbollah back beyond Lebanon’s Litani River (Al Araby).
- U.S. diplomatic efforts by Amos Hochstein may aim to de-escalate Israel-Lebanon tensions (Al Araby).
- The Washington Post reflects growing fear within the American State Department and other government sections of further escalation in the Middle East (Israel Hayom).
- The escalation came after a significant Hezbollah attack on an IDF base and IDF’s intensified bombings in Lebanon, attacking Hezbollah terror organization headquarters (Israel Hayom).
- An estimate of Israeli casualties and Lebanese infrastructure damage was provided (Al Jazeera).
Sources:
- Israel Hayom [Hebrew]
- Ynet News [English]
- Al Araby [Arabic]
- Al Jazeera [Arabic]
Links:
https://www.israelhayom.co.il/news/world-news/usa/article/15059041